Political intelligence

Political analysis, forecasting and monitoring.

Analysis, forecasting and monitoring for candidates, public office holders and their communications teams.

Capabilities

What we provide

Six services that work on their own or together.

  • Political analysis

    Reads election results, voter patterns and public discussion to show where a candidate or office stands and what is moving.

  • Prediction and forecasting

    Scenario-based election forecasts built from past results, available polling and field data. Forecasts are estimates with stated assumptions, not guarantees.

  • Dashboards

    Live dashboards that bring sentiment, field reports and key indicators onto one screen for the principal and the campaign team.

  • Opposition monitoring

    Tracks what rival candidates and parties say and do in public, and flags what needs a response.

  • Profiling of political actors

    Profiles of political actors and public figures.

  • Media and sentiment monitoring

    Follows political conversation in English, Hausa, Igbo, Yoruba and Pidgin, with fact-checked draft responses and human approval. See the product.

Method

How the work runs

Four steps, repeated through a campaign or a term of office.

  1. CollectPublic data, results history, media and field reports.
  2. AnalysePatterns, risks and the issues that are gaining ground.
  3. ForecastScenarios with the assumptions written down.
  4. ReportA dashboard and a short brief for decision makers.

How we handle information

We work from public information and public narratives. We do not profile private individuals, and we do not categorise people by tribe, religion or personal demographics. Our work is designed to follow the Nigeria Data Protection Act 2023.

Get in touch

Talk to us about your project